Archive for July 10th, 2008

Creating Climate Conclusions

I have no problem exposing myself as a climate change agnostic. I don’t know whether the world’s climate is changing or not; if it is I don’t know whether it’s the fault of humans or not; and I don’t trust Al Gore or the UN to be truthful about it when they both have great interest in exploiting the theory of climate change for their own benefits.

I also have great problems with the world expecting developed countries to show “leadership” by cutting greenhouse emissions by drastic amounts in a short period of time while showing no real interest in expecting developing countries such as China and India to control the explosion of emissions they’re increasingly responsible for (especially China) beyond asking them nicely to do so and backing off meekly when those countries tell the world to go fuck itself. None of this is anything I haven’t blogged about before.

But it struck me that this summer hasn’t been worse heat and weather-wise than last summer (although I do bitch about the heat and humidity plenty in another blog) and last summer wasn’t as bad as the summer before. In theory, if the climate is changing and it’s getting warmer, that should be evident in the summer as well as in the winter. Since this past winter was pretty temperate even if we didn’t get much snow it got me curious. So I went about checking out some weather history.

I compiled 6 years worth of data (2003-2008) using the months of May, June and the first 9 days of July. 70 day samples for each year. Maybe that’s not enough, but I believe it should be enough to show some sort of consistency over the years if something nefarious about climate change is going on. Maybe I’m wrong. I’m not scientist.

Using data for BWI airport from Weather Underground, I created a spreadsheet that can be viewed here. I then used the spreadsheet to create this chart:

Photobucket

What does it show over the course of the last 6 years, as the calls for action regarding climate change have grown louder and more shrill? Not much. Some years have more hot days than other and there’s no real pattern in any of it.

I know I’m only talking about 70 days out of 365 over the course of 6 years and not 365 days over decades or centuries, but if climate authorities can come to the conclusions they do using data that doesn’t show anything much more than some years are different than others then so can I.